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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski

Five-platform snapshot of "Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Match O/U 21.5 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $268K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Match O/U 21.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Match O/U 22.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 1 Winner0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 2 Winner0%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Match O/U 23.50%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to grodzisk mazowiecki: alejandro moro canas vs alexander donski. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Alexander Donski in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

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