Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Arkansas State O/U 20.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 90% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| Arkansas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| 1H Moneyline | 90% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 90% |
| Spread -0.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 41.5 | 86% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss | 83% |
| Spread -1.5 | 81% |
| O/U 43.5 | 77% |
| Spread -2.5 | 76% |
| Spread -3.5 | 70% |
| Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| O/U 47.5 | 67% |
| Spread -5.5 | 64% |
| Spread -6.5 | 61% |
| O/U 49.5 | 58% |
| Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 63.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 54% |
| Spread -8.5 | 52% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arkansas State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Southern Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 38% |
| Spread -13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -14.5 | 34% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| O/U 65.5 | 29% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| Southern Miss O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| Spread -17.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 15% |
| Spread -2.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Southern Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| O/U 69.5 | 8% |
| O/U 71.5 | 8% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -8.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 5% |
| Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of arkansas state vs. southern miss. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas Stat…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $164K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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