Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| O/U 43.5 | 96% |
| O/U 47.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 96% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 96% |
| Spread -3.5 | 95% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| Spread -7.5 | 94% |
| O/U 49.5 | 94% |
| O/U 51.5 | 93% |
| Spread -9.5 | 93% |
| Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| Spread -11.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 89% |
| O/U 55.5 | 88% |
| Spread -14.5 | 87% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| Spread -16.5 | 84% |
| O/U 45.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 53.5 | 82% |
| Spread -17.5 | 81% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 80% |
| Spread -20.5 | 77% |
| O/U 57.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 75% |
| O/U 59.5 | 74% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 74% |
| O/U 61.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| Spread -21.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| Spread -18.5 | 68% |
| Spread -19.5 | 68% |
| O/U 63.5 | 66% |
| Spread -24.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -22.5 | 63% |
| O/U 65.5 | 61% |
| Spread -27.5 | 60% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| O/U 67.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -28.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| Texas Tech O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Spread -30.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Arizona State O/U 20.5 | 46% |
| O/U 71.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Spread -31.5 | 41% |
| O/U 73.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| O/U 75.5 | 37% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 34% |
| Spread -34.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 4% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| 1H Moneyline | 3% |
| Arizona State vs. Texas Tech | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 98% chance of arizona state vs. texas tech. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona State and Texas Tech, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $167K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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