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USC vs. Penn State

Five-platform snapshot of "USC vs. Penn State" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

USC vs. Penn State 100% Spread -7.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Spread -5.5 100% Volume: $669K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
USC vs. Penn State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
USC vs. Penn State100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
USC O/U 20.5100%
USC O/U 23.5100%
USC O/U 26.5100%
USC O/U 29.5100%
USC 1H O/U 11.5100%
USC 1H O/U 13.5100%
USC 1H O/U 15.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 16.5100%
USC 2H O/U 11.5100%
USC 2H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown53%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q453%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.553%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.553%
2H Spread -3.553%
2H Spread -1.553%
2H Spread -0.553%
4Q Spread -1.553%
2H Moneyline53%
4Q Moneyline53%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
USC O/U 3.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
2H O/U 21.548%
2H O/U 24.548%
2H O/U 33.548%
USC 2H O/U 15.548%
Penn State 2H O/U 12.548%
Penn State 2H O/U 14.548%
Penn State 2H O/U 16.548%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q448%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H48%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q348%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.548%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.548%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.548%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.548%
2H Spread -0.548%
2H Spread -1.548%
4Q Spread -5.548%
Penn State O/U 3.548%
2H O/U 27.547%
2H O/U 30.547%
4Q O/U 10.547%
4Q O/U 13.547%
4Q O/U 16.547%
4Q O/U 19.547%
Game Goes to Overtime47%
2H Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -0.545%
4Q Spread -1.545%
4Q Spread -2.545%
O/U 63.51%
O/U 65.51%
O/U 69.51%
O/U 71.51%
O/U 75.51%
Penn State O/U 23.51%
Penn State O/U 26.51%
Penn State O/U 29.51%
Penn State O/U 32.51%
Penn State O/U 35.51%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 73.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
USC O/U 32.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of usc vs. penn state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices USC vs. Penn State at 100% for "USC vs. Penn State".

USC vs. Penn State 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $669K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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