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Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 90% Colombia O/U 0.5 73% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 67% Volume: $83K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Colombia O/U 0.573%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.567%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Switzerland O/U 0.563%
Colombia 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score48%
Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.543%
Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
O/U 2.540%
Team to Advance39%
Colombia O/U 1.538%
2nd Half O/U 1.538%
Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.536%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?29%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
Switzerland O/U 1.525%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Colombia (-1.5)20%
O/U 3.520%
Colombia 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?16%
Colombia O/U 2.513%
2nd Half O/U 2.513%
Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.510%
Switzerland (-1.5)9%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
O/U 4.58%
Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.58%
Colombia (-2.5)7%
Switzerland O/U 2.57%
O/U 5.53%
Switzerland (-2.5)2%
Colombia (-3.5)2%
Colombia (-4.5)2%
Switzerland (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.51%
Switzerland (-4.5)0%
Switzerland (-5.5)0%
Colombia (-5.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, switzerland vs. colombia - more markets stands at 90% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 7 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Switzerland vs. Colombia - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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