Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best Prediction Markets Pick polygram.ink |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Best Prediction Markets → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Best Prediction Markets.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 93% Over | 7% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 86% Over | 14% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 33% Over | 68% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 65% Over | 36% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 74% Over | 26% Under |
Market context
Türkiye and Paraguay meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match with the corners market already priced to expect a busy game, as the contract on Coinbase is showing a **90%** crowd-implied chance of **YES**. The underlying definition matters: this market resolves on **10 or more total corners** across regulation, stoppage time and any extra time, so it is closer to a volume bet on pressure and territory than on the final scoreline alone.[2][3]
That level is high by football standards, but not out of line with how corners can cluster in open World Cup matches, especially when both sides need points or chase a result late. Recent live pricing elsewhere points to a relatively tight contest on the match result, with ESPN and FOX listing the fixture and FOX showing a low total-goals line of **2.5**, which suggests analysts expect a game that may be competitive rather than chaotic in front of goal.[1][4][7] Sofascore’s pre-match trend lines also flag Türkiye over **10.5 corners** in recent samples, while Paraguay are shown less often reaching that level, which helps explain why a market at 90% YES may be trading above some sportsbook-derived intuition.[9]
Traders should watch the confirmed line-ups, any late tactical changes and whether either side needs the game-state to stay aggressive, because corners are highly sensitive to tempo, wing play and score effects. FIFA lists the match at **03:00** in the San Francisco Bay Area, and any rotation, injury update or late formation change before kick-off can move expectation faster than the headline odds.[6][10] If the pre-match market stays near this level while sportsbook totals remain comparatively modest, the main divergence is between a corners-specific contract that is effectively pricing a high-volume game and broader match markets that are still anchored to a tighter goals outlook.[1][2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $434K.
Methodology
This page reviews Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Total Corners across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Best Prediction Markets — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Best Prediction Markets is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Best Prediction Markets triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Total Corners on Best Prediction Markets
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