Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
86% | 14% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
86% | 14% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 86% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 1.5 | 86% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| United States Corners: O/U 4.5 | 73% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Team to Take First Corner | 69% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 66% |
| United States Corners: O/U 5.5 | 64% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 2.5 | 63% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 60% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| United States Corners: O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina Corners: O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 22% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, united states vs. bosnia and herzegovina - total corners stands at 86% likelihood according to current market consensus. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Total Corners across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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