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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 55% Any Player Ultra Kill 54% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 54% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 52% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $275K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?55%
Any Player Ultra Kill54%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?54%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Game 1 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner46%
Match Winner45%
Both Teams Beat Roshan43%
Both Teams Beat Roshan39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
First Blood in Game 2?35%
Any Player Ultra Kill31%
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)30%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage23%

Market context

The Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 55% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between LGD Gaming and Xtreme Gaming in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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