🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 84% Game 1 Winner 77% Game 2 Winner 76% First Blood in Game 1? 65% Volume: $73K Liquidity: $220K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
Open live market →
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner84%
Game 1 Winner77%
Game 2 Winner76%
First Blood in Game 1?65%
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)61%
First Blood in Game 2?61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
O/U 2.5 Games36%
Any Player Quadra Kill35%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor30%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana — current market-implied probability: 84%. This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 15 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas"…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Gr… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →