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Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova

Five-platform snapshot of "Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova 51% Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 Winner 51% Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 Winner 51% Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 8.5 51% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $524K Closes: 31 Oct 2026
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Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova51%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 Winner51%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 Winner51%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 8.551%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Game Spread +/-4.551%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 21.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 22.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Match O/U 23.550%
Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Completed Match1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Alevtina Ibragimova in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page reviews Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Alevtina Ibragimova across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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