Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 85% |
| AS Roma O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 72% |
| O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| AS Roma (-4.5) | 50% |
| Genoa CFC (-4.5) | 50% |
| AS Roma (-5.5) | 50% |
| Genoa CFC (-5.5) | 50% |
| AS Roma 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| AS Roma 1st Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half (-2.5) | 50% |
| Genoa CFC (-3.5) | 49% |
| O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| AS Roma 2nd Half (-1.5) | 45% |
| AS Roma 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Genoa CFC 2nd Half (-1.5) | 40% |
| Both Teams to Score | 32% |
| AS Roma O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| AS Roma O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| AS Roma O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 24% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| O/U 6.5 | 22% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| AS Roma (-1.5) | 20% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 16% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 14% |
| AS Roma (-3.5) | 11% |
| AS Roma O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Genoa CFC 1st Half (-1.5) | 8% |
| AS Roma (-2.5) | 7% |
| Genoa CFC (-1.5) | 4% |
| O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 4% |
| Genoa CFC (-2.5) | 3% |
| AS Roma O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| AS Roma 1st Half (-1.5) | 2% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| AS Roma 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Genoa CFC O/U 3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of as roma vs. genoa cfc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 17 at 2:45 PM ET.
Methodology
This page reviews AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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