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UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $181K Liquidity: $11 Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda100%
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight won by decision?100%
Decision or Draw100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Alatengheili to win by KO/TKO?0%
Castaneda to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Ends before Round 3?0%
Alatengheili in Round 10%
Alatengheili in Round 20%
Alatengheili in Round 30%
Castaneda in Round 10%
Castaneda in Round 20%
Castaneda in Round 30%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Alatengheili" if Alatengheili is officially declared the winner of the fight against John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)".

Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $181K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Ba… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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