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UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato 100% Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Edwards to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $285K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Edwards to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
Edwards in Round 3100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Bellato to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Ends before Round 3?0%
Edwards in Round 10%
Edwards in Round 20%
Bellato in Round 10%
Bellato in Round 20%
Bellato in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: christian edwards vs. rodolfo bellato (light heavyweight, prelims) stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Christian Edwards" if Christian Edwards is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcel…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)".

Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $285K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bella… on Best Prediction Markets

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Related Topics

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