🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Live odds for "UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% O/U 1.5 Rounds 78% O/U 2.5 Rounds 64% Ends before Round 5? 56% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $341K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
Open live market →
UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
O/U 1.5 Rounds78%
O/U 2.5 Rounds64%
Ends before Round 5?56%
Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley55%
Fight won by KO/TKO?50%
O/U 3.5 Rounds48%
Ends before Round 4?42%
O/U 4.5 Rounds40%
Fight won by decision?36%
Decision or Draw36%
Fight to Go the Distance?34%
Buckley to win by KO/TKO?30%
Ends before Round 3?28%
Malott to win by KO/TKO?20%
Fight won by submission?16%
Ends before Round 2?15%
Malott in Round 19%
Buckley in Round 39%
Buckley in Round 49%
Malott in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 18%
Buckley in Round 28%
Buckley in Round 58%
Malott in Round 47%
Malott in Round 36%
Malott in Round 55%

Market context

UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) — current market-implied probability: 92%. This market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% for "UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (We… on Best Prediction Markets

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets