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Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+4.5) 100% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $313K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-5.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-7.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-6.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-8.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+8.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-9.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Match Winner76%
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-5.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+5.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 2 Winner42%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.525%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Enterprise Esports (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-10.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+10.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Fnatic and Enterprise Esports in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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