Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, buenos aires 2: lucio ratti vs federico coria stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucio Ratti and Federico Coria in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Best Prediction Markets, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Buenos Aires 2: Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria on Best Prediction Markets
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