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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Live odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Completed Match 100% BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 Winner 100% BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $837K Closes: 16 Nov 2026
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BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 2 Winner100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 21.5100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 22.5100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Match O/U 23.5100%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic0%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set 1 Winner0%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic Game Spread +/-2.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to bnp paribas nordic open: arthur rinderknech vs miomir kecmanovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Miomir Kecmanovic in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Best Prediction Markets. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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