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Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

Five-platform snapshot of "Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner 100% Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $884K Liquidity: $122K Closes: 20 Sept 2026
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Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Best Prediction Markets) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 21.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 22.5100%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match51%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Game Spread +/-4.550%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend5%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 Winner0%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to guadalajara open akron: tatjana maria vs taylor townsend. This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Taylor Townsend in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

We track Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Best Prediction Markets trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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